Portadown vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
GLE
4 - 1
POR
77%
15%
9%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 0
POR
25%
25%
50%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
POR
2 - 1
LIN
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
POR
3 - 1
COL
48%
23%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CLI
1 - 0
POR
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 1
WAR
49%
24%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
CSF
78%
14%
8%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 2
DUN
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 5
GLE
18%
22%
61%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
LIN
2 - 0
CAR
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |