League Two Round 5

Port Vale vs Southend United analysis

Port Vale Southend United
58 ELO 58
3.5% Tilt -4.6%
2469º General ELO ranking 3593º
65º Country ELO ranking 94º
ELO win probability
51.9%
Port Vale
24.6%
Draw
23.5%
Southend United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
Port Vale
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.5%
Win probability
Southend United
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Port Vale
-2%
+13%
Southend United

ELO progression

Port Vale
Southend United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Port Vale
Port Vale
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2011
POR
Port Vale
4 - 1
Accrington Stanley
STA
49%
26%
25%
58 58 0 0
16 Aug. 2011
BUR
Burton Albion
1 - 1
Port Vale
POR
46%
25%
29%
58 54 4 0
13 Aug. 2011
BAR
Barnet
1 - 3
Port Vale
POR
46%
26%
28%
57 55 2 +1
09 Aug. 2011
POR
Port Vale
2 - 4
Huddersfield Town
HUR
23%
24%
54%
58 71 13 -1
06 Aug. 2011
POR
Port Vale
2 - 2
Crawley Town
CRA
30%
28%
42%
57 67 10 +1

Matches

Southend United
Southend United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2011
SOU
Southend United
0 - 1
Burton Albion
BUR
51%
25%
24%
58 54 4 0
16 Aug. 2011
CRA
Crawley Town
3 - 0
Southend United
SOU
67%
19%
13%
59 68 9 -1
13 Aug. 2011
STA
Accrington Stanley
1 - 2
Southend United
SOU
54%
23%
23%
58 58 0 +1
09 Aug. 2011
SOU
Southend United
1 - 1
Leyton Orient
LEY
32%
26%
42%
58 66 8 0
06 Aug. 2011
SOU
Southend United
1 - 0
Hereford United
HER
50%
25%
25%
57 55 2 +1