Port Vale vs Sheffield Wednesday analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
54.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
POR
1 - 0
DAR
39%
28%
33%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 0
POR
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
BRA
0 - 0
POR
54%
25%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
SHE
1 - 2
POR
79%
15%
6%
|
49 | 76 | 27 | +2 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
POR
1 - 1
ROC
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sheffield Wednesday
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
SHW
4 - 0
SCU
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
NEW
1 - 0
SHW
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
POS
1 - 1
SHW
48%
26%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
SHW
3 - 0
ROC
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
SHW
2 - 2
BAR
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |