Championship Round 29

Port Vale vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis

Port Vale Oldham Athletic AFC
63 ELO 57
-2.2% Tilt -6.1%
2484º General ELO ranking 3850º
65º Country ELO ranking 100º
ELO win probability
63%
Port Vale
19.9%
Draw
17%
Oldham Athletic AFC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
Port Vale
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17%
Win probability
Oldham Athletic AFC
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Port Vale
+16%
+8%
Oldham Athletic AFC

ELO progression

Port Vale
Oldham Athletic AFC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Port Vale
Port Vale
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Feb. 1935
BUR
Burnley
2 - 2
Port Vale
POR
67%
19%
15%
62 65 3 0
06 Feb. 1935
MUD
Manchester United
2 - 1
Port Vale
POR
66%
19%
15%
62 68 6 0
02 Feb. 1935
POR
Port Vale
2 - 1
Swansea City
SWA
64%
21%
16%
62 60 2 0
19 Jan. 1935
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
2 - 1
Port Vale
POR
67%
18%
15%
62 68 6 0
05 Jan. 1935
POR
Port Vale
4 - 0
Barnsley
BAR
56%
22%
23%
61 60 1 +1

Matches

Oldham Athletic AFC
Oldham Athletic AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Feb. 1935
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
1 - 4
Barnsley
BAR
62%
19%
19%
59 58 1 0
05 Feb. 1935
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
3 - 1
Bradford City
BRA
55%
23%
22%
58 66 8 +1
02 Feb. 1935
SHE
Sheffield United
2 - 1
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
75%
15%
10%
58 74 16 0
19 Jan. 1935
NOT
Notts County
2 - 1
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
57%
22%
21%
59 56 3 -1
05 Jan. 1935
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
0 - 2
Southampton
SOU
64%
20%
16%
60 62 2 -1