Port Vale vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
WAL
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2014 |
POR
3 - 2
WBA
17%
22%
61%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
PLY
0 - 4
POR
17%
21%
63%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
POS
0 - 0
POR
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
POR
1 - 2
SHE
32%
28%
40%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
STE
1 - 0
HAR
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
HAR
0 - 2
EXE
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
PLY
1 - 1
HAR
47%
27%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
HAR
2 - 1
MOR
48%
26%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
BUR
3 - 0
HAR
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |