Port Vale vs Exeter City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
48.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CRE
0 - 1
POR
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
POR
2 - 0
NOR
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 1
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
POR
1 - 2
NEW
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
TRA
1 - 0
POR
64%
20%
15%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
EXE
2 - 0
WHU
69%
18%
13%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
EXE
3 - 1
CHE
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 2
EXE
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
EXE
5 - 1
NOT
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
YEO
0 - 0
EXE
30%
24%
46%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |