Port Glasgow Athletic vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
61.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Glasgow Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1910 |
PGA
2 - 1
HAM
44%
24%
32%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1910 |
GRE
2 - 0
PGA
73%
16%
11%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1910 |
CEL
4 - 0
PGA
89%
8%
3%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1910 |
PGA
0 - 5
CLY
32%
24%
44%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1910 |
GLA
4 - 0
PGA
92%
6%
2%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1910 |
FAL
2 - 1
HOM
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1910 |
DUN
1 - 0
FAL
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1910 |
TLA
1 - 1
FAL
57%
22%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1910 |
FAL
4 - 1
AIR
75%
15%
10%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1909 |
FAL
3 - 1
GLA
50%
23%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |