Poole Town vs Swindon Supermarine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poole Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
POO
1 - 0
DOR
80%
13%
7%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
HAR
0 - 4
POO
19%
21%
59%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
POO
1 - 3
FAR
71%
17%
12%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
POO
2 - 1
TIV
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
GOS
4 - 3
POO
25%
25%
50%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
SWI
5 - 2
FAR
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
WIM
1 - 2
SWI
26%
23%
51%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SWI
3 - 0
KIN
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
SWI
1 - 1
MET
43%
23%
34%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
HAY
3 - 0
SWI
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |