Ponferradina vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
30.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
PON
1 - 0
ALM
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 3
PON
5%
16%
79%
|
69 | 25 | 44 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CDT
2 - 0
PON
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
PON
2 - 1
GIR
24%
26%
50%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
EIB
0 - 1
PON
66%
22%
12%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MAL
2 - 0
GIR
26%
28%
47%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
ALM
2 - 0
MAL
57%
25%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
MAL
1 - 0
ALC
49%
29%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
IBI
2 - 2
MAL
30%
30%
41%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
MAL
0 - 0
MIR
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |