III Liga Grupo 2. Jor. 11

Pogoń Szczecin II vs Olimpia Grudziadz analysis

Pogoń Szczecin II Olimpia Grudziadz
46 ELO 54
3.1% Tilt -7.7%
3460º General ELO ranking 2699º
70º Country ELO ranking 47º
ELO win probability
26.1%
Pogoń Szczecin II
25%
Draw
48.9%
Olimpia Grudziadz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
Pogoń Szczecin II
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
48.9%
Win probability
Olimpia Grudziadz
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Pogoń Szczecin II
-24%
-21%
Olimpia Grudziadz

Points and table prediction

Pogoń Szczecin II
Their league position
Olimpia Grudziadz
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
76
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Olimpia Grudziadz
76
76
100%
Pogoń Szczecin II
69
69
100%
Polonia Środa
64
64
100%
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
62
62
100%
Gedania Gdansk
61
61
100%
Starogard Gdański
59
59
100%
Świt Skolwin
55
55
100%
Nowe Skalmierzyce
54
54
100%
Sokół Kleczew
47
47
100%
Unia Swarzędz
10º
44
44
10º
100%
Cartusia Kartuzy
11º
43
43
11º
100%
Stargard Szczeciński
12º
42
42
12º
100%
Stolem Gniewino
13º
36
36
13º
100%
Vineta Wolin
14º
35
35
14º
100%
Unia Solec Kujawski
16º
32
35
15º
83.5%
Jarota Jarocin
15º
33
33
16º
83.5%
Bałtyk Gdynia
17º
28
28
17º
100%
Unia Janikowo
18º
10
10
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Pogoń Szczecin II
Olimpia Grudziadz
Promotion
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Pogoń Szczecin II
Olimpia Grudziadz
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pogoń Szczecin II
Pogoń Szczecin II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 2022
PSR
Polonia Środa
2 - 0
Pogoń Szczecin II
PSZ
17%
23%
60%
47 32 15 0
24 Sep. 2022
PSZ
Pogoń Szczecin II
1 - 0
Cartusia Kartuzy
CAR
84%
12%
5%
47 25 22 0
17 Sep. 2022
UNI
Unia Janikowo
1 - 1
Pogoń Szczecin II
PSZ
26%
26%
48%
47 39 8 0
10 Sep. 2022
PSZ
Pogoń Szczecin II
5 - 1
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
ZAW
18%
21%
61%
45 56 11 +2
03 Sep. 2022
STA
Stargard Szczeciński
0 - 0
Pogoń Szczecin II
PSZ
23%
25%
52%
45 36 9 0

Matches

Olimpia Grudziadz
Olimpia Grudziadz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 2022
OLI
Olimpia Grudziadz
1 - 3
Starogard Gdański
KSG
79%
15%
6%
55 38 17 0
23 Sep. 2022
BAL
Bałtyk Gdynia
1 - 2
Olimpia Grudziadz
OLI
7%
16%
77%
55 26 29 0
17 Sep. 2022
OLI
Olimpia Grudziadz
2 - 2
Unia Swarzędz
USW
87%
10%
3%
55 32 23 0
10 Sep. 2022
NOW
Nowe Skalmierzyce
1 - 2
Olimpia Grudziadz
OLI
21%
24%
55%
55 42 13 0
02 Sep. 2022
OLI
Olimpia Grudziadz
5 - 1
Jarota Jarocin
JAR
86%
11%
4%
55 34 21 0
X