Plabennec vs Montagnarde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
11º
11º
21
5º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 31 |
9º
|
78.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
80% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
67% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
|
14º
|
21 | 22 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
67% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
33% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PLA
0 - 1
GRE
8%
18%
74%
|
36 | 67 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BRE
7 - 2
PLA
14%
19%
67%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
PLA
2 - 0
VAN
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VIT
4 - 0
PLA
35%
26%
40%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
PLA
2 - 2
SBR
74%
15%
11%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Montagnarde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MON
4 - 1
DOL
47%
22%
31%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LAT
1 - 0
MON
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MON
0 - 3
LAN
41%
24%
35%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 2
MON
78%
14%
8%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MON
2 - 3
PON
33%
25%
42%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |