Pinheiros vs Rio Branco ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
5.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pinheiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
VIT
4 - 1
PIN
4%
9%
88%
|
74 | 43 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
CAC
2 - 2
PIN
19%
22%
60%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | +9 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
DES
1 - 3
PIN
41%
24%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
PIN
1 - 1
VFC
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
PIN
1 - 1
SER
61%
21%
17%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
RIO
3 - 0
SAO
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
RVV
1 - 0
RIO
48%
22%
30%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
RIO
0 - 0
RVV
30%
22%
48%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
VIT
1 - 2
RIO
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
RIO
1 - 1
VIT
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |