Phonix Bellheim vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
26.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Phonix Bellheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
PBF
6 - 2
WWO
37%
24%
39%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1965 |
VFR
1 - 1
PBF
62%
20%
19%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
PBF
1 - 0
ALS
45%
22%
34%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
SUL
2 - 1
PBF
67%
18%
15%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
PBF
3 - 1
EIN
42%
23%
35%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
LSC
1 - 1
M05
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1965 |
M05
4 - 0
ZWE
72%
16%
12%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
PIR
1 - 1
M05
73%
16%
11%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
WWO
0 - 1
M05
68%
18%
14%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
M05
3 - 2
VFR
65%
18%
17%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |