Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philadelphia Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2019 |
AFC
1 - 1
PHU
59%
21%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
KCW
2 - 0
PHU
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
PHU
1 - 3
TOR
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
DCU
1 - 2
PHU
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
MON
1 - 0
PHU
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Columbus Crew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
COC
1 - 0
DAL
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
NER
0 - 2
COC
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
COC
1 - 1
RBN
27%
25%
49%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
COC
0 - 0
VIS
41%
24%
35%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2018 |
RBN
3 - 0
COC
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |