Sochi vs Arsenal Tula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
39.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sochi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
SOC
3 - 1
AST
30%
24%
46%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
DIN
1 - 3
SOC
63%
20%
17%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
TER
2 - 2
SOC
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
SOC
1 - 2
YEN
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
BAT
1 - 1
SOC
77%
15%
9%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ARS
1 - 1
AST
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
ARS
2 - 0
ORD
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
ARS
0 - 2
UTA
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
ARS
2 - 3
SHA
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
ARS
1 - 1
PRI
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |