Petone vs Lower Hutt City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
75.3%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
PET
1 - 4
WSU
5%
11%
84%
|
15 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
WEL
5 - 0
PET
92%
6%
2%
|
15 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
PET
3 - 1
STO
29%
21%
50%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
WKA
0 - 2
PET
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
PET
3 - 3
WAI
6%
11%
83%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Lower Hutt City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
LHC
2 - 0
WAI
43%
21%
36%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
WSU
1 - 1
LHC
80%
14%
6%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
LHC
2 - 2
NAP
11%
17%
72%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
WEL
2 - 0
LHC
83%
11%
7%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
LHC
1 - 2
NWA
70%
16%
14%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +2 |