Peterborough United vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterborough United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
POS
2 - 0
PNE
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ROT
0 - 1
POS
32%
25%
42%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
SUN
2 - 0
POS
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
POS
2 - 1
MKD
60%
22%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BRI
0 - 3
POS
32%
24%
44%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
BRE
0 - 1
ROT
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
COV
0 - 2
BRE
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
BRE
0 - 2
LEY
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
TRA
3 - 4
BRE
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
BRA
4 - 0
BRE
37%
28%
36%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |