Lega Pro Round 5

Perugia vs Pisa SC analysis

Perugia Pisa SC
54 ELO 64
-8.7% Tilt -15%
1276º General ELO ranking 178º
52º Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
27.3%
Perugia
28.1%
Draw
44.7%
Pisa SC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
Perugia
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
44.7%
Win probability
Pisa SC
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Perugia
-11%
+7%
Pisa SC

ELO progression

Perugia
Pisa SC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Perugia
Perugia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 2012
ASA
AS Andria BAT
1 - 1
Perugia
PRG
47%
28%
25%
54 57 3 0
16 Sep. 2012
PRG
Perugia
2 - 0
AS Gubbio 1910
ASG
37%
28%
35%
53 58 5 +1
09 Sep. 2012
SSB
Barletta
0 - 1
Perugia
PRG
56%
25%
19%
51 56 5 +2
03 Sep. 2012
PRG
Perugia
2 - 1
Benevento
BEN
14%
22%
64%
49 67 18 +2
18 Aug. 2012
LIV
Livorno
4 - 1
Perugia
PRG
77%
17%
7%
49 68 19 0

Matches

Pisa SC
Pisa SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 2012
ASG
AS Gubbio 1910
2 - 1
Pisa SC
PIS
32%
28%
40%
65 57 8 0
16 Sep. 2012
PIS
Pisa SC
2 - 2
Barletta
SSB
65%
22%
14%
65 56 9 0
09 Sep. 2012
ASA
AS Andria BAT
1 - 1
Pisa SC
PIS
26%
29%
46%
64 56 8 +1
02 Sep. 2012
PIS
Pisa SC
3 - 1
Latina
LAT
68%
20%
11%
63 49 14 +1
12 Aug. 2012
PAD
Padova
2 - 2
Pisa SC
PIS
60%
22%
18%
62 68 6 +1