Perugia vs Empoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
PRG
4 - 1
PES
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
MOD
2 - 1
PRG
31%
27%
42%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
PRG
1 - 1
CES
80%
15%
6%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2004 |
SAL
0 - 2
PRG
19%
25%
56%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
PRG
2 - 2
GEN
76%
16%
7%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
EMP
0 - 0
CRO
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
VNZ
1 - 0
EMP
21%
26%
53%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2004 |
EMP
1 - 0
ABN
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2004 |
PIA
1 - 3
EMP
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
EMP
3 - 0
SAL
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |