Perugia vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.2%
+2
10.4%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
<0%
+1
24.2%
33.5%
Draw
0-0
17.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
33.4%
27.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
MOD
1 - 1
PRG
52%
29%
19%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
PRG
1 - 2
BAR
39%
32%
30%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
CAS
0 - 0
PRG
40%
29%
32%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
TOR
4 - 1
PRG
82%
12%
6%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1970 |
PRG
0 - 2
TER
49%
23%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
MAN
2 - 1
ARZ
69%
21%
10%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
NOV
2 - 1
MAN
38%
35%
27%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
MAN
2 - 0
PIS
58%
26%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
MAN
1 - 2
ACM
27%
29%
45%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1970 |
MAN
1 - 0
VAR
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |