Perth Glory vs Adelaide United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2019 |
CCM
0 - 3
PER
22%
24%
54%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
PER
6 - 2
NEW
55%
23%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
PER
2 - 0
WES
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
MCI
0 - 3
PER
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
MEL
1 - 0
PER
35%
26%
40%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
SYD
2 - 1
ADE
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2019 |
ADE
2 - 3
WES
57%
23%
21%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
CCM
2 - 1
ADE
19%
24%
57%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
ADE
2 - 1
NEW
52%
23%
24%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
ADE
1 - 2
WPH
67%
20%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |