Peñarol vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
REN
0 - 2
PEÑ
26%
26%
49%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
JUN
0 - 2
PEÑ
25%
26%
49%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
MWA
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ATE
1 - 1
PEÑ
28%
26%
47%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
RAC
2 - 1
FEN
53%
25%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
FEN
4 - 1
REN
52%
25%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
FEN
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
FEN
1 - 0
JUN
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
MWA
0 - 1
FEN
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |