Peñarol AC vs Nacional AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
PRI
1 - 0
PEN
50%
25%
25%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 0
AFC
18%
20%
62%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +3 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
SAO
5 - 0
PEN
53%
23%
24%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 4
MAN
10%
19%
70%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
OPE
4 - 1
PEN
18%
20%
63%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | -3 |
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
NAC
9 - 1
CLI
74%
16%
11%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 2
FAS
58%
23%
20%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
PRI
0 - 0
NAC
49%
26%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 1
AFC
21%
21%
58%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +3 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 0
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |