Peñarol AC vs Nacional AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
40.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEN
21%
22%
58%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 0
PEN
44%
25%
32%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 0
HOL
58%
22%
21%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 4
NAC
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
NAC
3 - 0
PEN
49%
25%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
PLA
67%
20%
14%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 0
SAO
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
PLA
0 - 0
NAC
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
HOL
0 - 2
NAC
24%
24%
52%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 3
NAC
78%
14%
8%
|
45 | 18 | 27 | 0 |