Peñarol AC vs Fast Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
40.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
PRI
2 - 0
PEN
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 1
PEN
41%
25%
35%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
PEN
3 - 1
OPE
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 0
NAC
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 0
MAN
40%
25%
36%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fast Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
FAS
2 - 0
SAO
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
OPE
0 - 4
FAS
23%
24%
54%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FAS
0 - 2
NAC
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 3
FAS
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
FAS
4 - 1
IRA
74%
16%
10%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |