Penapolense vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
TAU
1 - 2
PEN
37%
26%
38%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
AUD
0 - 2
PEN
33%
26%
42%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
PEN
2 - 1
SER
41%
26%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
FER
2 - 1
PEN
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 0
VEL
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 1
GUA
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
VOT
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 1
SAO
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
SAO
0 - 0
ECS
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
ECS
0 - 0
SAO
34%
29%
38%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |