Penafiel vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
45.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 0
CHA
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
CAS
3 - 3
PEN
25%
25%
50%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
PEN
2 - 2
ARO
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ACA
2 - 1
PEN
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
EDL
1 - 3
PEN
5%
11%
83%
|
60 | 33 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
FAM
2 - 1
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 0
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MOR
2 - 1
MAR
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 2
POR
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
FCP
2 - 3
MAR
82%
13%
5%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |