Copa Federacion . Last 16
Global 3-7
Peña Sport vs Real Unión Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
32.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
PAM
0 - 2
PEÑ
11%
18%
71%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
CDA
92%
6%
2%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
COR
2 - 4
PEÑ
11%
19%
70%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
PEÑ
4 - 2
CDB
85%
10%
5%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
UDM
1 - 1
PEÑ
24%
25%
51%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
TUD
2 - 2
RUN
30%
29%
41%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
RUN
1 - 0
ATH
30%
28%
42%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CDV
2 - 1
RUN
31%
29%
41%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CLH
1 - 1
RUN
64%
20%
15%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
RUN
3 - 3
CDU
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |