Super Copa Gaúcha Group C Round 3

Pelotas vs Cruzeiro RS analysis

Pelotas Cruzeiro RS
54 ELO 53
-8.8% Tilt -18.8%
5568º General ELO ranking 24159º
197º Country ELO ranking 706º
ELO win probability
37.1%
Pelotas
26%
Draw
36.8%
Cruzeiro RS

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
Pelotas
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.8%
Win probability
Cruzeiro RS
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Pelotas
+17%
-1%
Cruzeiro RS

ELO progression

Pelotas
Cruzeiro RS
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pelotas
Pelotas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Sep. 2018
PEL
Pelotas
1 - 0
Farroupilha
FAR
70%
19%
11%
53 36 17 0
16 Sep. 2018
FAR
Farroupilha
1 - 2
Pelotas
PEL
20%
26%
54%
52 36 16 +1
11 Sep. 2018
PEL
Pelotas
1 - 0
Aimoré
AIM
54%
24%
22%
52 48 4 0
06 Sep. 2018
CRU
Cruzeiro RS
0 - 0
Pelotas
PEL
42%
28%
31%
53 54 1 -1
30 Aug. 2018
GEB
GE Bagé
0 - 0
Pelotas
PEL
22%
26%
52%
53 39 14 0

Matches

Cruzeiro RS
Cruzeiro RS
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2018
CRU
Cruzeiro RS
2 - 0
Aimoré
AIM
51%
26%
23%
54 47 7 0
10 Sep. 2018
BAR
Barra FC
0 - 2
Cruzeiro RS
CRU
15%
20%
65%
53 37 16 +1
06 Sep. 2018
CRU
Cruzeiro RS
0 - 0
Pelotas
PEL
42%
28%
31%
54 53 1 -1
28 Aug. 2018
CRU
Cruzeiro RS
1 - 1
Farroupilha
FAR
67%
21%
11%
54 33 21 0
22 Aug. 2018
ECS
EC São José
0 - 2
Cruzeiro RS
CRU
33%
27%
40%
53 51 2 +1