Pego vs Aldaia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ALB
1 - 0
PEG
68%
20%
12%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
PEG
2 - 1
CAN
26%
24%
50%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ONT
1 - 3
PEG
53%
22%
25%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
PEG
1 - 1
CUL
43%
24%
33%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
REC
1 - 1
PEG
45%
24%
31%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aldaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ALD
4 - 2
UDC
30%
24%
47%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ALB
3 - 1
ALD
74%
17%
9%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ALD
0 - 4
CAS
28%
24%
48%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CAN
6 - 0
ALD
71%
17%
11%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ALD
0 - 2
ALG
22%
23%
55%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |