Paysandu vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2014 |
REM
2 - 2
PAY
27%
24%
49%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
SAL
2 - 1
PAY
20%
25%
55%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
PAY
2 - 1
SPO
31%
25%
44%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
PAY
1 - 0
ASA
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
PAY
3 - 0
FRA
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 0
CRB
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 1
SAN
41%
26%
34%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 2
SAL
68%
19%
12%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CRA
2 - 2
BOT
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BOT
3 - 2
TRE
56%
24%
21%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |