Non League Div One Southern S & W Round 15

Paulton Rovers vs Chesham United analysis

Paulton Rovers Chesham United
35 ELO 27
-3.7% Tilt 2.5%
12694º General ELO ranking 6010º
723º Country ELO ranking 201º
ELO win probability
58.4%
Paulton Rovers
21.3%
Draw
20.3%
Chesham United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
Paulton Rovers
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.2%
Win probability
Chesham United
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Paulton Rovers
+2%
-13%
Chesham United

ELO progression

Paulton Rovers
Chesham United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Paulton Rovers
Paulton Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Nov. 2006
MIL
New Milton Town
1 - 3
Paulton Rovers
PAU
51%
23%
26%
33 33 0 0
11 Nov. 2006
AFH
AFC Hayes
0 - 0
Paulton Rovers
PAU
28%
24%
48%
33 24 9 0
28 Oct. 2006
PAU
Paulton Rovers
2 - 1
Winchester City
WIN
55%
23%
23%
33 29 4 0
17 Oct. 2006
OXF
Oxford City
1 - 1
Paulton Rovers
PAU
60%
22%
18%
32 41 9 +1
14 Oct. 2006
PAU
Paulton Rovers
2 - 1
Newport Isle of Wight FC
NEW
58%
22%
20%
31 27 4 +1

Matches

Chesham United
Chesham United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Nov. 2006
MAR
Marlow FC
2 - 0
Chesham United
CHE
68%
18%
14%
28 41 13 0
11 Nov. 2006
CHE
Chesham United
1 - 3
Windsor & Eton FC
WEF
35%
24%
41%
30 39 9 -2
04 Nov. 2006
BRA
Bracknell Town FC
3 - 0
Chesham United
CHE
54%
22%
24%
31 34 3 -1
28 Oct. 2006
CHE
Chesham United
1 - 0
Newport Isle of Wight FC
NEW
66%
19%
16%
30 26 4 +1
21 Oct. 2006
MIL
New Milton Town
4 - 1
Chesham United
CHE
51%
22%
26%
32 34 2 -2