Paulista vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
64.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
PAU
3 - 0
COM
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
POR
0 - 2
PAU
78%
15%
8%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 0
PAU
83%
12%
5%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
PAU
0 - 1
POR
31%
25%
45%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
PAU
2 - 3
MOG
51%
24%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
ITU
83%
12%
5%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
XVD
1 - 1
SAN
10%
17%
72%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 4
FCB
4%
11%
86%
|
84 | 98 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
KAR
1 - 3
SAN
32%
23%
45%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SAO
4 - 1
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |