Pau FC vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
48.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
PAU
0 - 0
ROD
42%
25%
34%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
ROD
1 - 0
PAU
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
PAU
1 - 3
CHA
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2021 |
AJA
4 - 1
PAU
50%
27%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
PAU
0 - 3
TFC
33%
27%
41%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
AUX
1 - 0
TRO
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
TRO
2 - 1
SOC
65%
22%
13%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 0
TRO
24%
26%
50%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2021 |
TRO
2 - 0
CHA
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
GRE
2 - 0
TRO
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |