Patriotas Boyacá vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
55.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ONC
1 - 1
PAT
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 0
PAT
70%
21%
9%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 2
PER
19%
26%
55%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
EQU
1 - 3
PAT
63%
24%
13%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 1
SFE
14%
25%
61%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
IND
0 - 0
PER
49%
25%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
ALI
3 - 0
IND
23%
26%
51%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
IND
2 - 2
TOL
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 1
IND
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
IND
0 - 0
ENV
65%
22%
13%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |