Parramatta Eagles vs Rockdale City Suns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
42%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parramatta Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
PAE
0 - 0
BLA
44%
23%
33%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
API
1 - 0
PAE
65%
18%
16%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
PAE
5 - 3
BON
15%
19%
66%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | +5 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
SOU
4 - 2
PAE
66%
18%
16%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
PAE
1 - 2
SYD
42%
23%
35%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Rockdale City Suns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
ROC
3 - 1
PER
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
ROC
1 - 3
SOU
55%
24%
21%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
ROC
3 - 0
SUT
54%
24%
22%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
SYD
0 - 1
ROC
40%
25%
35%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
BLA
0 - 0
ROC
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |