Vaprus Pärnu vs Kuressaare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
42.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 2
TUL
31%
24%
44%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 2
TAM
35%
23%
42%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 4
KAL
13%
21%
66%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
LEV
5 - 0
PAR
87%
10%
3%
|
45 | 77 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
KUR
6 - 0
PAR
57%
21%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Kuressaare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
TAM
1 - 0
KUR
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
FLO
2 - 2
KUR
87%
11%
3%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
KUR
0 - 2
TJK
27%
24%
49%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
KUR
1 - 0
TUL
43%
24%
33%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
TRA
2 - 2
KUR
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |