Vaprus Pärnu vs Alliance FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2019 |
WEL
1 - 2
PAR
16%
19%
65%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2019 |
TAM
1 - 0
PAR
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2019 |
PAR
2 - 1
FCE
45%
24%
32%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2019 |
PAR
0 - 0
FLO
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
TKA
4 - 2
PAR
29%
23%
48%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
RAK
0 - 3
JKJ
26%
23%
51%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
JKJ
0 - 1
FCE
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2019 |
LEV
2 - 2
JKJ
45%
24%
30%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2019 |
JKJ
3 - 1
TKA
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2019 |
TJK
3 - 0
JKJ
74%
16%
10%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |