Vaprus Pärnu vs Ajax Lasnamäe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
26.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
PAR
2 - 0
WAR
76%
14%
9%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
LEV
4 - 1
PAR
83%
12%
4%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
PAR
2 - 3
TAR
53%
22%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
FLO
4 - 0
PAR
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 4
TRA
27%
24%
50%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax Lasnamäe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
AJA
0 - 3
LEV
16%
22%
63%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
TAR
3 - 1
AJA
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
AJA
1 - 4
FLO
18%
20%
62%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
TRA
2 - 0
AJA
75%
16%
10%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
AJA
1 - 2
TVM
17%
21%
63%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |