Parnamirim vs Baraunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
73.1%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3003%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parnamirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
POT
1 - 1
PAR
79%
13%
8%
|
6 | 35 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
ACD
2 - 0
PAR
81%
12%
7%
|
6 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 4
PAL
11%
16%
72%
|
6 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 6
ALE
12%
17%
72%
|
7 | 33 | 26 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
VIC
3 - 0
PAR
74%
15%
11%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
ACD
2 - 1
BAR
41%
22%
37%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 0
POT
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 1
FEL
43%
23%
34%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ASS
4 - 1
BAR
52%
25%
24%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 1
GLO
29%
27%
44%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +2 |