Parceiro Nagano vs Niigata University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parceiro Nagano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
FUK
1 - 2
PAR
36%
28%
35%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
PAR
2 - 0
SAG
46%
26%
29%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
FUJ
2 - 0
PAR
42%
28%
31%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
KAM
0 - 1
PAR
35%
29%
36%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 2
GRU
52%
26%
23%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Niigata University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2018 |
PAR
3 - 2
NUN
80%
14%
6%
|
10 | 58 | 48 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
CER
2 - 0
NUN
93%
6%
1%
|
10 | 82 | 72 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
GKU
1 - 3
NUN
30%
22%
48%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
KAT
1 - 0
NUN
78%
16%
6%
|
9 | 54 | 45 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
ALB
4 - 2
NUN
91%
7%
2%
|
9 | 71 | 62 | 0 |