Paraguay U20 vs Venezuela U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
PRY
0 - 1
COL
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
PER
1 - 2
PRY
20%
22%
58%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
PRY
3 - 0
CHL
48%
25%
28%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
PRY
1 - 1
CHL
48%
25%
28%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
PRY
2 - 2
URY
40%
26%
35%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Venezuela U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
VEN
2 - 2
PER
35%
25%
40%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
VEN
1 - 0
COL
18%
22%
61%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
URY
3 - 1
VEN
71%
19%
11%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
ESP
2 - 1
VEN
80%
15%
6%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
BAH
0 - 0
VEN
28%
23%
49%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |