Pafos vs AEK Larnaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
3º
5º
4º
66
5º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
61 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
66 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pafos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
PAF
1 - 1
OMO
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
OMO
2 - 0
PAF
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
APO
0 - 0
PAF
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PAF
2 - 2
ARI
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 1
PAF
22%
27%
50%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
AEK
2 - 2
APO
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
ARI
4 - 0
AEK
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
WHU
4 - 0
AEK
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
AEK
0 - 1
APO
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
AEK
0 - 2
WHU
24%
25%
52%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |