Palmeiras vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
12%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1976 |
PAL
0 - 0
AME
62%
24%
15%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
SAO
1 - 2
PAL
46%
30%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1976 |
FLA
0 - 2
PAL
51%
27%
22%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
GUA
0 - 1
PAL
43%
26%
31%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
SCI
1 - 0
PAL
58%
25%
17%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
VIT
2 - 4
SAO
34%
30%
37%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
VIT
0 - 4
GUA
49%
25%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1976 |
AME
3 - 0
VIT
59%
24%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
VIT
0 - 3
FLA
41%
29%
30%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
VIT
1 - 1
BOT
44%
28%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |