Palmeiras vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
MIR
0 - 2
PAL
12%
22%
66%
|
90 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PAL
4 - 3
FLA
42%
24%
34%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
ITU
1 - 3
PAL
15%
23%
63%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAO
58%
22%
20%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 1
PAL
11%
21%
68%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
FER
80%
15%
6%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
AGU
79%
15%
6%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAN
18%
26%
57%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAN
26%
28%
47%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
MIR
77%
16%
7%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |