Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Palmeiras vs Atlas FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.5%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
4.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2000 |
ATS
0 - 2
PAL
34%
25%
41%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2000 |
PAL
3 - 1
PEÑ
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2000 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
PAL
28%
27%
45%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2000 |
JUV
2 - 2
PAL
17%
23%
60%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2000 |
PAL
4 - 1
NAC
88%
9%
4%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Atlas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2000 |
ATS
0 - 2
PAL
34%
25%
41%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2000 |
JUN
1 - 3
ATS
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2000 |
ATS
2 - 0
JUN
63%
20%
18%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2000 |
UCH
3 - 2
ATS
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2000 |
ATS
5 - 1
NAC
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |