Copa do Brasil . Last 16
Global 5-3
Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
35.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
PAL
4 - 2
FLA
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
COT
2 - 1
PAL
31%
27%
42%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
CRZ
2 - 1
PAL
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 1
ATP
55%
25%
21%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
VAS
1 - 4
PAL
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
CRZ
0 - 0
SCI
56%
24%
20%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
JEC
3 - 0
CRZ
22%
27%
51%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
CRZ
2 - 1
PAL
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 0
CRZ
30%
27%
44%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 0
CRZ
44%
26%
30%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |