Palermo FC vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
PAL
41%
29%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
PAL
1 - 1
PES
67%
19%
15%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PAL
1 - 2
ATL
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CAG
1 - 1
PAL
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 2
LAZ
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
GEN
1 - 0
UDI
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 0
GEN
58%
24%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
GEN
3 - 2
LAZ
34%
25%
40%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 1
GEN
79%
14%
6%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
GEN
0 - 2
CAT
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |