Palermo FC vs FC Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
16.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
18.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
20.4%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.4%
2.6%
Win probability
0.29
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MDR
0 - 1
PAL
5%
14%
82%
|
73 | 24 | 49 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
PAL
1 - 0
ROC
89%
9%
2%
|
73 | 27 | 46 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
STO
1 - 1
PAL
5%
14%
81%
|
73 | 19 | 54 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
PAL
3 - 1
MAR
88%
10%
2%
|
73 | 26 | 47 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
PAL
0 - 0
ASD
93%
7%
1%
|
73 | 32 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CIT
3 - 0
BIA
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ACC
0 - 1
CIT
22%
22%
57%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CIT
1 - 0
PAL
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
LIC
0 - 0
CIT
67%
20%
14%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
CIT
1 - 0
ROC
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |