Palencia vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
34.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
LEO
0 - 3
CFP
14%
24%
62%
|
48 | 21 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CFP
3 - 1
BEC
77%
16%
7%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
CFP
5 - 0
NUM
70%
19%
10%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
CEB
0 - 8
CFP
18%
24%
58%
|
47 | 17 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CFP
2 - 0
CDG
77%
17%
7%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
BUR
2 - 0
SAN
73%
19%
8%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
AST
0 - 1
BUR
15%
25%
61%
|
52 | 21 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
CDA
0 - 2
BUR
15%
25%
61%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
BUR
3 - 0
AVI
64%
22%
14%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
BUR
5 - 0
NOR
75%
18%
7%
|
52 | 21 | 31 | 0 |